Sammy Vegas – Take the Double Extra Points #8

“No wife can endure a gambling husband, unless he is a winning one”

Last Week: 4-5 ATS
Season: 28-31-1 ATS

Although we got bit last weekend with another disappointing outing, nobody got bit worse than Alabama WR Mike McCoy. While warming up at home last week in his team’s pivotal SEC game vs. Tennessee, McCoy was catching some pre-game passes when he regrettably backpedaled into Tennessee mascot and Bluetick Coonhound Smokey IX. Smokey took a chunk out of McCoy’s leg that apparently drew blood and foreshadowed what was to come for Alabama as they later fell to Smokey and the Volunteers.

As you might recall, this is not the first such incident in an SEC game. UGA, the official bulldog of Georgia, took a lethal bite that narrowly missed at Auburn WR Robert Baker.

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Sammy Vegas

Tennessee (-5) over South Carolina: Steve Spurrier has simply owned Phil Fulmer. In fact, he is 8-3 all time against him. However, last year’s win in Tennessee has had the Volunteers and Fulmer drooling all season waiting for payback. Tennessee is fresh off a win at Alabama in which QB Erick Ainge had 3 INT’s and saw the rest of the offense struggle as well, but were able to find a way to win. Fulmer brings in one of his strongest and more motivated team in years, and although S. Carolina is off of two consecutive wins, not going to happen here.

Hawaii (-26) over Idaho: The Rainbow Warriors might be the best team in the country nobody hears about. Their two losses this year were by 7 at Boise St. and 8 at Alabama (which happens to be the only team to hold them under 40). In fact this team put up 68 points at Fresno earlier in the year and is lead by QB Colt Brennan, who has thrown 28 TD’s this year to only 5 INT’s. This is the second best non-BCS team and expect their 438 passing yards/game to easily cover this measly 26 points.

BYU (-7) over Air Force: BYU is coming into this game by winning their last 4 games by an average of 46-12. QB John Beck has been tearing apart defenses with over 300 yards a game and an outstanding 16 TD’s to only 3 INT’s. Air Force is coming off a pathetic loss to San Diego State, which happened to be the Aztec’s first win of the season. Last time BYU came to town they won by 17 as an underdog, and look for them to easily match that again.

T. Rose

Ohio State (-27) over Minnesota: Last week, the Minnesota offense exploded for 10 whole points against North Dakota State and needed a block field goal as time expired to preserve a 10-9 victory at home against the vaunted I-AA Bison. Things get somewhat more difficult this week at The Horseshoe. Jim Tressel knows how the Gophers exploded for over 550 yards at home against the Buckeyes last year and how many Minnesota players are from the state of Ohio, not to mention Head Coach Glen Mason. The Buckeyes have big play potential all over the field with WRs Gonzalez and Ginn and RB Pittman. Look for a repeat of last week’s thrashing of Indiana as the Gophers will be lucky to score 10 in this one and Troy Smith solidifies his status as the Heisman front-runner.

USC (-11) over Oregon State: Faith in the Trojans is dropping faster than the housing market and Pete Carroll will have his USC squad motivated to show the country they are deserving of the #2 ranking. Oregon State comes off an impressive road win at Arizona that was no where near as close as the 17-10 final might suggest. However, USC is coming off a bye week and will have all of their WRs healthy for the first time in weeks. With hapless Stanford on deck, look for the Trojans to put together their best Pac-10 performance and pressure QB Moore all day. Oregon State was destroyed by Cal and Boise State earlier in the year and will be lucky to keep this one to 11 points in the first half.

Temple (+19) over Bowling Green: Before you throw this pick away faster than a no-talent, 21-year old actor can bag Paris Hilton, let me just remind you that Temple is now 2-0 against the spread vs. MAC teams this year. Bowling Green comes off a deflating loss at Central Michigan and unlike Falcon teams of the past, relies heavily on the run. Temple’s defense (well, their entire team for that matter) is atrocious and should have less confidence than Dr. D running around the Bloomington college bars. However, their run defense held Garrett Wolfe to just 45 yards on 17 carries last week and their offense scored on a couple of big plays in the 2nd half. Look for the Owls to come out strong as this is the ir only winnable game for the rest of the season.

Dr. D

Penn State (-3) over Purdue: Penn State struggled last week in a 26-12 win over Illinois in which they were actually outgained in total yards. However, Purdue has also struggled offensively this year and veteran QB Painter has 9 INT’s on the year. QB Anthony Morelli will be at a 100% this weekend for the Nittany Lions and will be helped out with the return of 2 all Big 10 lineman. Penn State has a significant edge here on defense and special teams and are in a must win situation here.

Jeffie Husker

Cincinnati (-6.5) over Syracuse: Cincinnati has faced the likes of Pitt, Ohio State, Louisville, and Virginia Tech and has given them all tough games except for Ohio State. In fact, the Bearcats lost to Louisville 23-17 in a game that could have easily have been won. They have a potent ground game that is averaging close to 200 yards/game and will face a Syracuse defense that is near the bottom in all statistical categories. The young Bearcats have looked impressive the past few weeks and are clearly building on next year. Look for them exploit the weak Syracuse D and win comfortably here.

Weekly Guest Handicapper: J. ‘Double’ D.

Colorado State (-6.5) over New Mexico: Colorado State is coming off an embarrassing 24-0 loss last week at the hands of Wyoming. However, that is the same Wyoming team that held Boise to only 17 points in a 17-10 loss earlier this year. New Mexico is getting too much point value here as they are coming off a 34-31 victory over Utah. Colorado State QB Haine is completing 66% of his passes and the Rams boast a strong defense that will keep them perfect at home.

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